Monday, November 17, 2008

The G-20 effect….

The counties like India whose economic strength and the opportunity to give higher returns to PE players/direct FII investment in core sectors is intact but the global turmoil has dampened the foreign inflow. The high slogans of G-20 heads has limited use as there was no concrete steps to meet the global financial demands and steps to spur the slowing economic growth.

The countries across the world are fascinated to announce that they are facing economic slow down/recession. The top head lines confirm that each day, day after a day, one or the other country either it could be European or Asian proudly announcing the above statement and seeking for help. The G-20 nations at home may reduce the interest rates and increase the money supply to avert the gravity of economic slow down.

The classic rebound from the Diwali Nifty high may produce much required hope to Bulls but the Nifty is currently trading below the support level. Now the concern at home is about the bad debts and the rise. The Govt. shall increase steps to spend more and build confidence to Industry to go for expansion albeit a slower pace. The previous post levels of the companies are not changed but NTPC the sole company in the lot exhibited resilience and made sharp recovery to above 150 levels.

The Nifty will loose the earlier said support at 2630 level and may go down below 2500 level unless the Reserve Bank of India announces the repo rate cut by Wednesday, as the inflationary pressures are showing clear signs of easing. The worst case the RBI can wait for a day, till it finds the clear picture after the announcement of inflation figures on Thursday.